Sunday, September 17, 2006
Polling – Not on who is going to win, but on who has been mugged.
There was an interesting poll in Ultimas Noticias today that was specially commissioned by Ultimas Noticias and carried out by Datanalysis. It was a survey of 600 people in cities across Venezuela on the subject of who has been a victim of crime. Without further ado here are the numbers:
When asked if they or any family members of theirs have been the victims of crime 369, or 61.5% answered yes. So nearly two thirds of Venezuelans have direct experience with crime.
They broke this down by social class (remember A are the wealthiest and E the poorest):
Class A & B 72% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
Class C 71% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
Class D 61% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
Class E 58% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
At first glance those numbers appear a little counterintuitive. One would think people living in poor areas would more likely to have been the victims of crime than the well to do who live in walled compounds. Then again, maybe Venezuelan criminals are rational people and know enough to rob people who actually have money.
The age group most effected by crime is the 25 to 34 age group followed by the 35 to 49 age group. Those over 50 are the least effected by crime.
They then broke the survey down by political tendency. First, out of the 600 people questioned 284 stated they were Chavistas, 218 ni-nis (neither for nor against Chavez) and 83 were opposition supporters. That shows you the political breakdown of the country. 53% of Chavistas report having been the victims of crime while 66% of the opposition supporters claim to have been victimized.
The last result was the same across all political tendancies and social classes – very few Venezuelan’s have any trust in the police. 41.2% have no confidence in the police while 42.2% have little confidence in them. So almost 85% have little or no confidence in the police. Its amazing that Interior Minister Jessie Chacon still has a job given those numbers.
All in all, not a good picture. Crime is clearly out of control and the vast majority of Venezuelans have been personally impacted by it. Worse still, they have no faith in the very people who should be helping them. Chavez is still a popular president. One has to wonder how much MORE popular he would be if he would deal with this problem.
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When asked if they or any family members of theirs have been the victims of crime 369, or 61.5% answered yes. So nearly two thirds of Venezuelans have direct experience with crime.
They broke this down by social class (remember A are the wealthiest and E the poorest):
Class A & B 72% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
Class C 71% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
Class D 61% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
Class E 58% have been victims of crime or have family members who have been.
At first glance those numbers appear a little counterintuitive. One would think people living in poor areas would more likely to have been the victims of crime than the well to do who live in walled compounds. Then again, maybe Venezuelan criminals are rational people and know enough to rob people who actually have money.
The age group most effected by crime is the 25 to 34 age group followed by the 35 to 49 age group. Those over 50 are the least effected by crime.
They then broke the survey down by political tendency. First, out of the 600 people questioned 284 stated they were Chavistas, 218 ni-nis (neither for nor against Chavez) and 83 were opposition supporters. That shows you the political breakdown of the country. 53% of Chavistas report having been the victims of crime while 66% of the opposition supporters claim to have been victimized.
The last result was the same across all political tendancies and social classes – very few Venezuelan’s have any trust in the police. 41.2% have no confidence in the police while 42.2% have little confidence in them. So almost 85% have little or no confidence in the police. Its amazing that Interior Minister Jessie Chacon still has a job given those numbers.
All in all, not a good picture. Crime is clearly out of control and the vast majority of Venezuelans have been personally impacted by it. Worse still, they have no faith in the very people who should be helping them. Chavez is still a popular president. One has to wonder how much MORE popular he would be if he would deal with this problem.
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